Inspired by @DaysofNHS. Made by Aeron Laffere.

💰NHSCostCalculator.comNHS
Net:£0✅£9.9bn
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Briefing

Where the UK fiscal position stands today (per OBR EFO March 2025).

Forecasts: OBR EFO March 2025

Historical era
Quick build

Policy scenarios for 2024

Load a complete package, then refine it in the report.

You're stepping into the Treasury. Here's what's on the briefing note this morning.
Borrowing 2024-25
£128.0bn(5.0% GDP)
Debt:GDP 2024-25
95%
Year-2029-30 forecast PSNB
£55.0bn(1.9% GDP)
Fiscal-rule headroom
£9.9bn

Live OBR forecast (March 2025 EFO) — loaded server-side and passed through to the wizard.

Pressures on this morning's note:

  • • NHS — Demographic pressure pushes ~3% real growth required just to stand still.
  • • Defence — NATO 2.5% pledge by 2030 implies ~£20bn additional spending.
  • • State pension — Triple lock binds upratings to max(CPI, earnings, 2.5%).
  • • Frozen thresholds — Fiscal drag now raising £35bn+/yr, locked until 2031.

Chancellor HUD

Net effect
£0
after behavioural response: £0
Year 6 (2029-30)
PSNB: £55.0bn → £55.0bn
Stability rule: ✅ £9.9bn

No choices yet. Pick a goal and start making decisions — the HUD updates in real time.